Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000547 0.000622 0.000702 0.000793 0.000893 0.001000 0.001122
2026-02-08 0.000414 0.000515 0.000630 0.000768 0.000931 0.001114 0.001335
2026-02-15 0.000342 0.000452 0.000584 0.000749 0.000951 0.001187 0.001482
2026-02-22 0.000294 0.000411 0.000555 0.000745 0.000983 0.001271 0.001640
2026-03-01 0.000258 0.000378 0.000533 0.000743 0.001015 0.001351 0.001793
2026-03-08 0.000225 0.000346 0.000508 0.000733 0.001033 0.001412 0.001921
2026-03-15 0.000197 0.000317 0.000482 0.000720 0.001044 0.001463 0.002036
2026-03-22 0.000183 0.000307 0.000482 0.000739 0.001097 0.001569 0.002223
2026-03-29 0.000168 0.000293 0.000475 0.000749 0.001138 0.001658 0.002391
2026-04-05 0.000150 0.000273 0.000457 0.000741 0.001152 0.001711 0.002510
2026-04-12 0.000135 0.000255 0.000441 0.000733 0.001165 0.001762 0.002628
2026-04-19 0.000125 0.000245 0.000435 0.000740 0.001199 0.001843 0.002788
2026-04-26 0.000114 0.000233 0.000425 0.000741 0.001225 0.001913 0.002935
2026-05-03 0.000099 0.000212 0.000401 0.000718 0.001214 0.001930 0.003009
2026-05-10 0.000087 0.000195 0.000380 0.000700 0.001208 0.001954 0.003092
2026-05-17 0.000079 0.000184 0.000369 0.000696 0.001223 0.002008 0.003219
2026-05-24 0.000072 0.000174 0.000360 0.000694 0.001242 0.002068 0.003354
2026-05-31 0.000065 0.000163 0.000347 0.000684 0.001248 0.002107 0.003460
2026-06-07 0.000058 0.000152 0.000333 0.000672 0.001248 0.002138 0.003555
2026-06-14 0.000055 0.000150 0.000336 0.000690 0.001298 0.002245 0.003765
2026-06-21 0.000052 0.000146 0.000335 0.000700 0.001334 0.002333 0.003948
2026-06-28 0.000047 0.000138 0.000324 0.000692 0.001341 0.002374 0.004059
2026-07-05 0.000042 0.000130 0.000314 0.000684 0.001347 0.002415 0.004172